The Daily Torch, Author at The Florida Capital Star

Commentary: Polls Underestimate Trump Because He Appeals to Americans Who Are Less Political

October 26, 2024 The Daily Torch

One of the largest takeaways from Trump’s unexpected success in 2016 – and the inability of pollsters to accurately predict the support he earned in both 2016 and 2020 – is that Trump has continuously appealed to Americans who are less politically engaged.

Adding to the issue, is that Americans with lower political engagement are also generally harder to recruit into political surveys to share their opinions. We see this theme repeatedly, with low propensity voters, especially first-time voters, being much more likely to support Trump than highly active voters. At the same time, lower frequency voters are much harder to reach in polls before election day.

Commentary: Reading Between the Lines of The Mark Halperin Interview by Tucker Carlson

October 23, 2024 The Daily Torch

Recently Tucker Carlson made news yet again with one of his expert interviews. Since leaving the sinking Fox News ship, Carlson has shown a real knack for doing the exact right interview at the exact right moment to convey the deeper and more telling story of the current political and cultural meltdown in which we all live.

Commentary: Americans Notice Hypocritical Disconnect in Biden Administration’s Response to Hurricane Helene

October 12, 2024 The Daily Torch

As the disastrous impact of Hurricane Helene reverberates through the nation and the southeast braces for the impact of Hurricane Milton, many Americans are calling out the tepid federal response from the Biden-Harris Administration even as billions of taxpayer dollars are ushered to foreign countries or into programs for illegal immigrants.

Hurricane Helene, which devastated sixteen states in the southeast from Florida to North and South Carolina, Georgia and Tennessee, has taken the lives of over 220 Americans, and left millions without food, shelter, or power.

Commentary: More Than 150,000 Violent Convicted Criminals Released into U.S. as Kamala Harris Visits Southern Border to Find Out What’s Going On

September 30, 2024 The Daily Torch

“I say, I told you so.” That was former President Donald Trump’s reaction at a Michigan rally on Sept. 27 of tens of thousands of violent, convicted criminals being let into the U.S. by the Biden-Harris Department of Homeland Security, according to the latest data from Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) released on Sept. 25 via Congressional oversight by U.S. Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-Texas).

Commentary: As Kamala Harris Refuses to Make the Sale to Voters, Donald Trump Can Close the Deal at the Debate

September 9, 2024 The Daily Torch

As the 2024 presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump begins to enter to closing stretch, all eyes are now turned to the Sept. 10 debate between the two candidates, as national polls still show the race to be closely contested both nationally and in the swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina and Nevada.

Analysis: Job Openings Collapse to Lowest Level Since 2021

September 5, 2024 The Daily Torch

U.S. labor markets continued showing signs of weakening as job openings fell to 7.6 million in July, the lowest level since Feb. 2021. Job openings are now 4.6 million below their March 2022 high of 12.2 million, a more than 37 percent drop.

Analysis: Trump Quietly Gains Support Among Black Voters in Battleground States Against Harris

August 20, 2024 The Daily Torch

The likely outcome according to current polling and historical precedent is that the Democratic Presidential candidate will win a wide majority of the Black vote, and with Vice President Kamala Harris on the ticket this expectation is raised even further.